Leo's 2014 over under picks

Once again, I'm making my picks for all NFL teams based on the odds bookmakers have for their season win totals. This has really gone downhill for me in recent years, but since I don't have anything better to do, I'm pushing on.

Arizona - 7.5 wins - UNDER

Injuries, tough division, no way they repeat last year's success, Palmer faces 3 tough defenses in the division... this one should happen.

Atlanta - 8.5 wins - UNDER

They should bounce back, but their defense is still lacking. Hard to see 9 wins in the NFC.

Baltimore - 8.5 wins - OVER

Just barely. They had problems last year and still finished 8-8. They're not great, but they did bring in some people.

Buffalo - 6.5 wins - OVER

Crazy, but I like them to sneak up on people in this division. They have some talent.

Carolina - 8 wins - UNDER

Everyone sees them as falling apart, and given how much they lost on D and at WR, it's no surprise. They started out at 8.5 and some places have them at 7.5 now. Not good.

Chicago - 8.5 wins - OVER

A lot of people like them, and I guess I do enough. They really blew it down the stretch last year, but supposedly better D is there.

Cincinnati - 9 wins - OVER

People think they're prime for a collapse because of Dalton. He's always been good for the regular season though. And I don't buy the other teams in that division.

Cleveland - 6.5 wins - UNDER

They had so much promise, and then Josh Gordon did the Brownsiest thing you can do. When you don't know, always go under for them.

Dallas - 7.5 wins - UNDER

After their D losses, seems like everyone is down on them. The usual 8-8 is even too high now. I'll take it.

Denver - 11.5 wins - OVER

With a healthy Peyton, they should be at 12.

Detroit - 8.5 wins - UNDER

If they shored up the D or made a good coaching change.... but this.... nope.

Green Bay - 10.5 wins - OVER

Unless Rodgers goes down, 11 wins is nothing for them now.

Houston - 7.5 wins - UNDER

They'll be much better, but over .500? Not with those QBs.

Indianapolis - 9.5 wins - OVER

Once again, the awful division is theirs with no question.

Jacksonville - 5 wins - UNDER

They won't be as bad, but they don't have the skill people to get anywhere.

Kansas City - 8.5 wins - OVER

Everyone thinks they will fall apart, but they've got enough to be fine in the regular season.

Miami - 7.5 - OVER

They should get to 8-8 again, maybe 9 if they get a line.

Minnesota - 6 wins - UNDER

This depends on how quick they go to Bridgewater. They could surprise.

New England - 10.5 wins - OVER

They're a lock for 11 or 12 until Brady dies.

New Orleans - 10.5 wins - OVER

This is tough, they're right there.... they could get 9 and still win the division. 11 is poss.

NY Giants - 8 wins - OVER

I'm always worried. They'll sneak up when you're not expecting it.

NY Jets - 7 wins - UNDER

They surprised people last year, but it's not happening.

Oakland - 5 wins - UNDER

Four wins is better.

Philadelphia - 9 wins - UNDER

See last post. Everyone seems optimistic. I am not, jsut because. They should have the division, but they could do that with 8 or 9 wins.

Pittsburgh - 8.5 wins - UNDER

I can't believe they made it to 8 wins with all that trouble. Still not sold.

San Diego Chargers - 8.5 wins - UNDER

They've become a popular pick, but that D....

San Francisco - 10.5 wins - UNDER

All the suspensions and injuries will hurt them, but they'll be close to this.

Seattle - 11 wins - OVER

They didn't lose much, and the division isn't as crazy as we thought. They'll be the top seed again most likely.

St. Louis - 7.5 wins - UNDER

The over was tough before Bradford got hurt, and now it's really tough to see.

Tampa Bay - 7 wins - OVER

I think they get slightly over with a little help.

Tennessee - 7 wins - UNDER

I know... 2 of their players? Maybe 3?

Washington - 7.5 wins - UNDER

I'd be a little worried if they weren't such a mess. Thank you, Danny Boy.